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4 Issues to Watch When Apple Studies Earnings on July 31

admin by admin
August 1, 2025
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4 Issues to Watch When Apple Studies Earnings on July 31
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This week is loaded with tech earnings, and Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) will launch their quarterly stories at the moment, July 30, after the shut of markets. Tomorrow, we’ll hear from Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN).

Apple is heading into the confessional because the second-worst performing constituent of the group. Tesla (TSLA), which is the worst performer of the group, didn’t impress with its June quarter earnings, and CEO Elon Musk’s daring guarantees didn’t overshadow the earnings miss.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

As for Apple, the inventory fell after the corporate’s fiscal Q2 launch, regardless of posting better-than-expected earnings for the quarter. May issues be any completely different this time round? Let’s discover, starting with the fiscal Q3 earnings estimates.

Analysts anticipate Apple to report income of $88.96 billion within the June quarter, 3.7% greater than the corresponding quarter final yr. The Cupertino-based firm guided for an annual income enhance of “low to mid-single digits” for the quarter.

I imagine the consensus estimates could be a bit conservative contemplating the headwinds from a weaker greenback ($DXY). Furthermore, stories counsel robust iPhone gross sales in China in Might and June, which ought to assist Apple report buoyant revenues for its fiscal third quarter.

Consensus estimates name for a mere 1.4% year-over-year enhance in Apple’s earnings per share, with analysts modeling a full-year enhance of 5.3%.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

Together with the headline monetary numbers, I’ll look ahead to the next within the earnings name.

  1. Steerage: Whereas Apple stopped offering quantitative steerage in 2020, the corporate does present some shade on its outlook. Throughout the earnings name, I’ll look ahead to steerage on the highest line in addition to gross margins.

  2. M&A Technique: Whereas we shouldn’t actually anticipate Apple to say something concrete on M&A, I stay up for dialogue on the opportunity of an acquisition to enhance the corporate’s synthetic intelligence (AI) technique. There have been rumors about Apple contemplating buying AI startup Perplexity, however the iPhone maker has typically not been as lively in M&A as a few of its Large Tech friends.

  3. Apple Intelligence: I’ll look ahead to commentary on the launch of Apple Intelligence options in China. Whereas Apple has partnered with Alibaba (BABA), which ought to assist facilitate the discharge of those options in China, the deal is reportedly dealing with scrutiny within the U.S.

  4. Provide Chain Technique: With Vietnam now dealing with a 20% tariff and India faces 25% tariffs, I’ll look ahead to Apple administration’s feedback on the availability chain technique. Notably, President Donald Trump has threatened to impose as much as a 25% tariff on imports from India, which might damage Apple because the nation accounts for the majority of iPhone shipments to the U.S. after Apple’s provide chain tweaks.

Whereas Apple confronted a flurry of downgrades within the first half of the yr, some analysts have began to see worth within the inventory after the latest underperformance, and earlier this month, Jefferies upgraded it from an “Underperform” to “Maintain,” whereas JPMorgan raised its goal value from $230 to $250.

Nonetheless, Apple is rated as a “Sturdy Purchase” or “Average Purchase” by solely 21 of the 37 analysts masking the inventory as tracked by Barchart. 14 analysts charge AAPL as a “Maintain,” whereas two charge it as a “Sturdy Promote.” Apple’s imply goal value is $231.46, 9.6% greater than the July 29 closing value, whereas the Road-high goal value of $300 is sort of 42% greater.

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

I see the setup for Apple inventory as moderately constructive forward of the confessional, given its YTD underperformance versus Large Tech friends. Furthermore, iPhone gross sales have picked up in China, which is kind of reassuring as that market has been notably difficult for Apple.

Nevertheless, I imagine that Apple is a show-me story for the subsequent few months and the iPhone maker must persuade markets that it nonetheless deserves to commerce at premium valuations – at a ahead price-earnings (P/E) a number of of round 30x to be exact.

Total, whereas I anticipate to see an uptick in Apple following the earnings, I nonetheless don’t discover it the type of fascinating story because it was a couple of quarters again, as the corporate navigates headwinds on the macro, regulatory, in addition to company-specific degree, making its outlook the haziest it has been in years.

On the date of publication, Mohit Oberoi had a place in: AAPL, AMZN, META, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA. All data and knowledge on this article is solely for informational functions. This text was initially printed on Barchart.com



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