“Heightened geopolitical uncertainty, world manufacturing shortfalls, and transportation challenges in 2023 additional highlighted the rising safety of provide danger at a time after we consider the demand outlook is stronger and extra sturdy than ever. The advantages of nuclear energy have come clearly into focus, with 28 nations world wide declaring help for the tripling of capability to assist obtain world net-zero greenhouse gasoline emissions by 2050. The uncertainty about the place nuclear gas provides will come from to fulfill rising demand has led to elevated long-term contracting exercise, and in 2023, about 160 million kilos of uranium was positioned underneath long-term contracts by utilities. Costs throughout the nuclear gas cycle continued to rise. Spot enrichment costs are up 38% and conversion costs proceed to realize document highs. Uranium spot costs have greater than doubled from round $48 (US) per pound on the finish of 2022 to $100 (US) per pound on the finish of January 2024, after peaking at $106 (US) per pound earlier within the month, and the long-term worth for uranium was $72 (US) per pound, a rise of about 38% over the identical interval.
“We proceed to consider that Cameco stays a superb alternative to put money into the restoration of the nuclear gas cycle. Now we have 35 years of expertise on this market and have constructed a powerful fame as a confirmed and dependable provider with a diversified manufacturing portfolio that gives us with the pliability to work with our prospects to make sure they preserve entry to our dependable provides to fulfill their ongoing gas necessities. Now we have designed our technique of full-cycle worth seize to be resilient. Now we have a number of provide choices, together with manufacturing, purchases, stock and loans we will draw on to assist guarantee we proceed to fulfill our supply commitments to our prospects. Given the character of our contracts, we’ve got good visibility into when and the place we have to ship materials, and we’ve got put in place a lot of instruments that enable us to self-manage danger.
“We proceed to have success gaining and preserving publicity to the enhancing market fundamentals underneath long-term contracts that can underpin the sustainable operation of our property. In our uranium phase, our contracting focus has been on acquiring market-related pricing mechanisms, whereas additionally offering sufficient draw back safety. We proceed to be strategically affected person in our discussions to maximise worth in our contract portfolio and to take care of publicity to increased costs with unencumbered future productive capability.
“With ongoing enhancements available in the market, the brand new long-term contracts we’ve got put in place and our pipeline of contracting discussions, we’re planning to provide 18 million kilos (100% foundation) at every of McArthur River/Key Lake and Cigar Lake in 2024. Now we have additionally transformed 73.4 million kilos (100% foundation) (40 million kilos our share) of sources to reserves at Cigar Lake, and plan to start the work obligatory to increase the estimated mine life to 2036. At McArthur River/Key Lake, we are going to undertake an analysis of the work and funding essential to broaden manufacturing as much as its annual licensed capability of 25 million kilos (100% foundation), which we anticipate will enable us to reap the benefits of this chance when the time is correct.
“We’re excited to have added a 49% curiosity in Westinghouse to our portfolio of investments in 2023. We consider Westinghouse is well-positioned for long-term progress pushed by the anticipated improve in world demand for nuclear energy. In 2024, we anticipate our share of its adjusted EBITDA to be between $445 million and $510 million. Additional, over the subsequent 5 years, we anticipate its adjusted EBITDA will develop at a compound annual progress fee of 6% to 10%.
“Because of the disciplined execution of our technique, together with our conservative monetary administration, our stability sheet stays robust. We anticipate it’ll allow us to proceed executing our technique and self-managing danger, together with dangers associated to world macro-economic uncertainty and volatility. As of December 31, 2023, we had $567 million in money and money equivalents with roughly $1.8 billion in complete debt. And, we not too long ago initiated a partial compensation of $200 million (US) on the $600 million (US) floating-rate time period mortgage that was used to finance the acquisition of Westinghouse. Our $1.0 billion credit score facility continues to be undrawn.
“With the renewed recognition of the position nuclear energy should play in offering clear and safe baseload energy, we’re optimistic about Cameco’s position in supporting the transition to a net-zero carbon economic system. Now we have a plan to realize a 30% absolute discount from our complete Scope 1 and a pair of emissions degree by 2030 from our 2015 baseline, which is the primary main milestone on the journey to realize our ambition of being net-zero. We consider our largest contribution to the net-zero transition comes from the uranium, nuclear gas, companies and know-how that we provide to help the era of nuclear energy – 100% carbon-free electrical energy. Lately, we put additional help behind our dedication to local weather motion and our imaginative and prescient of energizing a clean-air world by becoming a member of Internet Zero Nuclear, an initiative between authorities, trade leaders and civil society to triple world nuclear capability to realize carbon neutrality by 2050.
“We consider we’ve got the proper technique to realize our imaginative and prescient of ‘energizing a clean-air world’ and we are going to achieve this in a fashion that displays our values. Embedded in all our selections is a dedication to addressing the environmental, social and governance dangers and alternatives that we consider will make our enterprise sustainable over the long run.”
Abstract of This fall and 2023 outcomes and developments:
- 2024 steerage: With the enhancements available in the market, the brand new long-term contracts we’ve got put in place, and a pipeline of contracting discussions, our plan is to provide 18 million kilos (100% foundation) at every of McArthur River/Key Lake and Cigar Lake in 2024. We additionally plan to start the work obligatory to increase the estimated mine life at Cigar Lake to 2036. As well as, at McArthur River/Key Lake, we plan to undertake an analysis of the work and funding essential to broaden manufacturing as much as its annual licensed capability of 25 million kilos (100% foundation), which we anticipate will enable us to reap the benefits of this chance when the time is correct. Based mostly on Kazatomprom’s (KAP) announcement on February 1, 2024, manufacturing in Kazakhstan is predicted to stay 20% under the extent stipulated in subsoil use agreements, much like in 2023, primarily because of the sulfuric acid scarcity within the nation. We’re nonetheless in discussions with JV Inkai and KAP to find out how this will influence manufacturing at Inkai in 2024 and thereafter and due to this fact our corresponding buy obligation. At our Port Hope conversion facility, we plan to provide between 13.5 million and 14.5 million kgU, together with 12 million kgU of UF 6 to fulfill our e-book of long-term enterprise for conversion companies and buyer demand at a time when conversion costs are at historic highs. Because of these plans, we anticipate robust monetary efficiency in 2024, together with money circulate era. See Outlook for 2024 and Uranium – Tier-one operations in our 2023 annual MD&A.
- Fourth quarter web earnings of $80 million; adjusted web earnings of $90 million: Fourth quarter outcomes are pushed by regular quarterly variations in contract deliveries and the continued execution of our technique. Our outcomes embody the addition of a brand new phase with the shut of the acquisition of Westinghouse Electrical Firm (Westinghouse) within the fourth quarter. Adjusted web earnings is a non-IFRS measure, see under.
- Annual web earnings of $361 million; adjusted web earnings of $339 million: Annual outcomes replicate the continued transition again to a tier-one price construction. Our outcomes additionally replicate increased gross sales volumes and the development in common realized costs as uranium and conversion costs continued to extend, catalyzed by safety of provide considerations. In our uranium phase, we delivered 32 million kilos of uranium at a median realized worth of $67.31. Manufacturing for 2023 was 17.6 million kilos in our uranium phase, barely decrease than anticipated in September. In our gas companies phase, we delivered 12 million kgU underneath contract at a median realized worth of $35.61 and produced 13.3 million kgU. As well as, we generated $688 million in money from operations and adjusted EBITDA of $831 million. Our annual outcomes embody $101 million in adjusted EBITDA from our funding in Westinghouse. Adjusted web earnings and adjusted EBITDA are non-IFRS measures, see under.
- Disciplined long-term contracting continues: As of December 31, 2023, in our uranium phase, we had commitments requiring supply of a median of about 27 million kilos of uranium per 12 months from 2024 by way of 2028, with dedication ranges increased than the typical in 2024 and 2025, and under the typical in 2026 by way of 2028. Our complete portfolio of long-term contracts consists of commitments for about 205 million kilos of uranium. These commitments solely symbolize about 20% of our present reserve and useful resource base, offering us with quite a lot of publicity to enhancing demand from our prospects as they appear to safe their long-term wants. We proceed to have a big and rising pipeline of uranium enterprise underneath dialogue. Our focus continues to be on acquiring market-related pricing mechanisms, whereas additionally offering sufficient draw back safety. We proceed to be strategically affected person in our discussions to maximise worth in our contract portfolio and to take care of publicity to increased costs with unencumbered future productive capability. As well as, with robust demand within the UF 6 conversion market, we have been profitable in including new long-term contracts that carry our complete contracted volumes to over 75 million kgU of UF 6 that can underpin our Port Hope conversion facility for years to return.
- JV Inkai shipments: The primary cargo containing roughly two thirds of our share of Inkai’s 2023 manufacturing was obtained within the fourth quarter. The second cargo with the remaining quantity of our share of 2023 manufacturing has arrived at a Canadian port. We proceed to work intently with JV Inkai and our three way partnership associate, KAP, to obtain our share of manufacturing through the Trans-Caspian Worldwide Transport Route, which doesn’t depend on Russian rail strains or ports. We might expertise additional delays to our anticipated Inkai deliveries if transportation utilizing this transport route takes longer than anticipated. To mitigate the chance of delays, we’ve got stock, long-term buy agreements and mortgage preparations in place we will draw on to fulfill our commitments. Relying on after we obtain shipments of our share of Inkai’s manufacturing, our share of earnings from this equity-accounted investee and the timing of the receipt of our share of dividends from the three way partnership could also be impacted. See Uranium – Tier-one operations – Inkai in our 2023 annual MD&A.
- Acquisition of Westinghouse: In November, we introduced the closing of the acquisition of Westinghouse in a strategic partnership with Brookfield Asset Administration alongside its publicly listed affiliate Brookfield Renewable Companions (Brookfield) and institutional companions. Cameco now owns a 49% curiosity and Brookfield owns the remaining 51% in Westinghouse. We consider bringing collectively our experience within the nuclear trade with Brookfield’s experience in clear vitality positions nuclear energy on the coronary heart of the clear vitality transition and creates a robust platform for strategic progress throughout the nuclear sector. In 2024, we anticipate our share of its adjusted EBITDA to be between $445 million and $510 million. Additional, over the subsequent 5 years, we anticipate its adjusted EBITDA will develop at a compound annual progress fee of 6% to 10%. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-IFRS measure, see under. See Westinghouse Electrical Firm in our 2023 annual MD&A.
- Robust stability sheet: As of December 31, 2023, we had $567 million in money and money equivalents and $1.8 billion in complete debt. As well as, we’ve got a $1.0 billion undrawn credit score facility. Now we have a $500 million senior unsecured debenture maturing on June 24, 2024. Over the approaching months, we are going to search for a chance to refinance this debenture, previous to maturity or because it comes due. In the end, our resolution might be made with consideration for our money era, the rate of interest setting and different capital allocation concerns. As well as, we’ve got initiated a partial compensation of $200 million (US) on the $600 million (US) floating-rate time period mortgage that was used to finance the acquisition of Westinghouse. The prepayment might be utilized to the $300 million (US) tranche, which matures in November 2026. See Financing Actions in our 2023 annual MD&A for extra details about the time period mortgage.
- Obtained dividends from JV Inkai: Within the first quarter of 2023, we disclosed the receipt of a money dividend cost from JV Inkai totaling $79 million (US), web of withholdings. JV Inkai distributes extra money, web of working capital necessities, to the companions as dividends. See Uranium – Tier-one operations – Inkai in our 2023 annual MD&A.
- Canada Income Company (CRA) tax dispute: In March, we introduced CRA issued revised reassessments for the 2007 by way of 2013 tax years, which resulted in a refund of $297 million of the $780 million in money and letters of credit score held by CRA on the time. The refund consisted of money within the quantity of $86 million and letters of credit score within the quantity of $211 million, which have been returned within the second quarter. Within the third quarter MD&A, we disclosed the receipt of $12 million from CRA for disbursements associated to prices awarded by the courts, primarily based on their selections in our favour for the 2003, 2005 and 2006 tax years. The prices have been along with the $10 million we obtained from CRA in April 2021 as reimbursement for authorized charges. In late 2023, we obtained a reassessment for the 2017 tax 12 months primarily based on CRA’s alternate reassessing place and anticipate we might be required to supply letters of credit score of about $70 million as safety. See Switch pricing dispute in our 2023 annual MD&A for extra data.
- Licence renewals: In January, the Canadian Nuclear Security Fee (CNSC) granted a 20-year licence renewal for Cameco Gasoline Manufacturing, which additionally permits for a slight improve to 1,650 tonnes as UO 2 gas pellets (beforehand 1,200 tonnes). In October, the CNSC renewed the licences for McArthur River, Key Lake and Rabbit Lake. We have been happy to obtain 20-year licences for McArthur River and Key Lake and a 15-year licence for Rabbit Lake. We consider that our dedication to defending the well being and security of our staff, the general public and the setting is mirrored within the prolonged period of the licences.
Consolidated monetary outcomes
THREE MONTHS ENDED |
YEAR ENDED |
|||
CONSOLIDATED HIGHLIGHTS |
DECEMBER 31 |
DECEMBER 31 |
||
($ MILLIONS EXCEPT WHERE INDICATED) |
2023 |
2022 |
2023 |
2022 |
Income |
844 |
524 |
2,588 |
1,868 |
Gross revenue |
133 |
65 |
562 |
233 |
Internet earnings (loss) attributable to fairness holders |
80 |
(15) |
361 |
89 |
$ per frequent share (fundamental) |
0.18 |
(0.04) |
0.83 |
0.22 |
$ per frequent share (diluted) |
0.18 |
(0.04) |
0.83 |
0.22 |
Adjusted web earnings (loss) (non-IFRS, see under) |
90 |
36 |
339 |
135 |
$ per frequent share (adjusted and diluted) |
0.21 |
0.09 |
0.78 |
0.33 |
Adjusted EBITDA (non-IFRS, see under) 1 |
831 |
431 |
||
Money supplied by operations |
201 |
77 |
688 |
305 |
1 Now we have solely supplied adjusted EBITDA on a year-to-date foundation. |
The 2023 annual monetary statements have been audited; nevertheless, the 2022 fourth quarter and 2023 fourth quarter monetary data introduced is unaudited. You will discover a duplicate of our 2023 annual MD&A and our 2023 audited monetary statements on our web site at cameco.com.
NET EARNINGS
The next desk exhibits what contributed to the change in web earnings and adjusted web earnings (non-IFRS measure, see under) within the three months and 12 months ended December 31, 2023, in comparison with the identical interval in 2022.
CHANGES IN EARNINGS |
THREE MONTHS ENDED |
YEAR ENDED |
||||
($ MILLIONS) |
DECEMBER 31 |
DECEMBER 31 |
||||
IFRS |
ADJUSTED |
IFRS |
ADJUSTED |
|||
Internet earnings (losses) – 2022 |
(15) |
36 |
89 |
135 |
||
Change in gross revenue by phase |
||||||
(we calculate gross revenue by deducting from income the price of services offered, and depreciation and amortization (D&A), web of hedging advantages) |
||||||
Uranium |
Impression from gross sales quantity adjustments |
10 |
10 |
30 |
30 |
|
Greater realized costs ($US) |
122 |
122 |
208 |
208 |
||
International trade influence on realized costs |
13 |
13 |
95 |
95 |
||
Greater prices |
(73) |
(73) |
(9) |
(9) |
||
change – uranium |
72 |
72 |
324 |
324 |
||
Gasoline companies |
Impression from gross sales quantity adjustments |
4 |
4 |
9 |
9 |
|
Greater realized costs ($Cdn) |
8 |
8 |
32 |
32 |
||
Greater prices |
(14) |
(14) |
(34) |
(34) |
||
change – gas companies |
(2) |
(2) |
7 |
7 |
||
Different adjustments |
||||||
Greater administration expenditures |
(30) |
(30) |
(74) |
(74) |
||
Greater exploration expenditures |
(1) |
(1) |
(7) |
(7) |
||
Change in reclamation provisions |
41 |
(7) |
31 |
3 |
||
Change in positive factors or losses on derivatives |
36 |
(4) |
111 |
(24) |
||
Change in overseas trade positive factors or losses |
2 |
2 |
(58) |
(58) |
||
Change in earnings from equity-accounted investments |
39 |
59 |
60 |
80 |
||
Discount buy acquire on CLJV possession curiosity improve |
– |
– |
(23) |
– |
||
Greater (decrease) finance revenue |
(3) |
(3) |
75 |
75 |
||
Greater finance prices |
(24) |
(24) |
(30) |
(30) |
||
Change in revenue tax restoration or expense |
(32) |
(5) |
(130) |
(78) |
||
Different |
(3) |
(3) |
(14) |
(14) |
||
Internet earnings – 2023 |
80 |
90 |
361 |
339 |
Non-IFRS measures
The non-IFRS measures referenced on this doc are supplemental measures, that are used as indicators of our monetary efficiency. Administration believes that these non-IFRS measures present helpful data to traders, securities analysts, lenders and different events in assessing our operational efficiency and our skill to generate money flows to fulfill our money necessities. These measures usually are not acknowledged measures underneath IFRS, wouldn’t have standardized meanings, and are due to this fact unlikely to be akin to similarly-titled measures introduced by different corporations. Accordingly, these measures shouldn’t be thought of in isolation or as an alternative to the monetary data reported underneath IFRS. The next are the non-IFRS measures used on this doc.
ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS
Adjusted web earnings (ANE) is our web earnings attributable to fairness holders, adjusted for non-operating or non-cash gadgets similar to positive factors and losses on derivatives, changes to reclamation provisions flowing by way of different working bills, and discount buy positive factors, that we consider don’t replicate the underlying monetary efficiency for the reporting interval. Different gadgets might also be adjusted infrequently. We don’t modify this measure for gadgets that equity-accounted investees make in arriving at different non-IFRS measures. Adjusted web earnings is without doubt one of the targets that we measure to type the idea for a portion of annual worker and government compensation (see Measuring our outcomes in our 2023 annual MD&A).
In calculating ANE we modify for derivatives. We don’t use hedge accounting underneath IFRS and, due to this fact, we’re required to report positive factors and losses on all hedging exercise, each for contracts that shut within the interval and people who stay excellent on the finish of the interval. For the contracts that stay excellent, we should deal with them as if they have been settled on the finish of the reporting interval (mark-to-market). Nevertheless, we don’t consider the positive factors and losses that we’re required to report underneath IFRS appropriately replicate the intent of our hedging actions, so we make changes in calculating our ANE to raised replicate the influence of our hedging program within the relevant reporting interval. See International trade in our 2023 annual MD&A for extra data.
We additionally modify for adjustments to our reclamation provisions that circulate straight by way of earnings. Each quarter we’re required to replace the reclamation provisions for all operations primarily based on new money circulate estimates, low cost and inflation charges. This usually ends in an adjustment to our asset retirement obligation asset along with the supply stability. When the property of an operation have been written off on account of an impairment, as is the case with our Rabbit Lake and US ISR operations, the adjustment is recorded on to the assertion of earnings as “different working expense (revenue)”. See observe 16 of our annual monetary statements for extra data. This quantity has been excluded from our ANE measure.
The cut price buy acquire that was acknowledged after we acquired our pro-rata share of Idemitsu Canada Sources Ltd.’s 7.875% taking part curiosity within the Cigar Lake Joint Enterprise has additionally been eliminated in calculating ANE since it’s non-cash, non-operating and outdoors of the conventional course of our enterprise. The acquire was recorded within the assertion of earnings as a part of “different revenue (expense)”.
Because of the change in possession of Westinghouse once they have been acquired by Cameco and Brookfield, their inventories on the acquisition date have been revalued primarily based available on the market worth at that date. As these portions are offered, their price of services offered replicate these market values, no matter Westinghouse’s historic prices. Since this adjustment is non-cash, exterior of the conventional course of enterprise and solely occurred because of the change in possession, it has been excluded from our ANE measure.
The next desk reconciles adjusted web earnings with our web earnings for the three months and years ended December 31, 2023, and 2022.
THREE MONTHS ENDED |
YEAR ENDED |
|||
DECEMBER 31 |
DECEMBER 31 |
|||
($ MILLIONS) |
2023 |
2022 |
2023 |
2022 |
Internet earnings (loss) attributable to fairness holders |
80 |
(15) |
361 |
89 |
Changes |
||||
Changes on derivatives |
(59) |
(19) |
(59) |
76 |
Changes to earnings from equity-investees |
20 |
– |
20 |
– |
Changes on different working expense (revenue) |
40 |
88 |
(2) |
26 |
Adjustment to different revenue |
– |
– |
– |
(23) |
Earnings taxes on changes |
9 |
(18) |
19 |
(33) |
Adjusted web earnings |
90 |
36 |
339 |
135 |
EBITDA
EBITDA is outlined as web earnings attributable to fairness holders, adjusted for the prices associated to the influence of the corporate’s capital and tax construction together with depreciation and amortization, finance revenue, finance prices (together with accretion) and revenue taxes.
ADJUSTED EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA is outlined as EBITDA adjusted for the influence of sure prices or advantages incurred within the interval that are both not indicative of the underlying enterprise efficiency or that influence the flexibility to evaluate the working efficiency of the enterprise. These changes embody the quantities famous within the adjusted web earnings definition.
In calculating adjusted EBITDA, we additionally modify for gadgets included within the outcomes of our equity-accounted investees. These things are reported as a part of advertising and marketing, administrative and normal bills throughout the investee monetary data and usually are not consultant of the underlying operations. These embody acquire/loss on undesignated hedges, transaction prices associated to acquisitions and acquire/loss on disposition of a enterprise.
We additionally modify for the unwinding of the impact of buy accounting on the sale of inventories which is included in our share of earnings from equity-accounted investee and recorded in the price of services offered within the investee data (see observe 12 to the monetary statements).
The corporate might notice related positive factors or incur related expenditures sooner or later.
EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA are measures which permit us and different customers to evaluate outcomes of operations from a administration perspective with out regard for our capital construction. To facilitate a greater understanding of those measures, the desk under reconciles earnings earlier than revenue taxes with EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA for the years ended 2023 and 2022.
For the 12 months ended December 31, 2023:
FUEL |
|||||
($ MILLIONS) |
URANIUM 1 |
SERVICES |
WESTINGHOUSE |
OTHER |
TOTAL |
Internet earnings (loss) attributable to fairness holders |
606 |
129 |
(24) |
(350) |
361 |
Depreciation and amortization |
175 |
35 |
– |
10 |
220 |
Finance revenue |
– |
– |
– |
(112) |
(112) |
Finance prices |
– |
– |
– |
116 |
116 |
Earnings taxes |
(7) |
126 |
119 |
||
Internet changes on fairness investees 2 |
56 |
– |
89 |
– |
145 |
EBITDA |
837 |
164 |
58 |
(210) |
849 |
Loss on derivatives |
– |
– |
– |
(59) |
(59) |
Different working expense (revenue) |
(2) |
– |
– |
– |
(2) |
Different revenue |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
Changes on fairness investees 3 |
– |
– |
43 |
– |
43 |
Adjusted EBITDA |
835 |
164 |
101 |
(269) |
831 |
1 JV Inkai EBITDA is included within the uranium phase. See JV Inkai Non-IFRS measures in our 2023 annual MD&A. |
2 Contains depreciation and amortization, finance revenue and finance prices of equity-accounted investees (see observe 12 to the monetary statements). |
3 For element of changes, see Our 2023 Earnings from Westinghouse in our 2023 annual MD&A. |
For the 12 months ended December 31, 2022:
FUEL |
||||
($ MILLIONS) |
URANIUM 1 |
SERVICES |
OTHER |
TOTAL |
Internet earnings (loss) attributable to fairness holders |
200 |
120 |
(231) |
89 |
Depreciation and amortization |
136 |
33 |
8 |
177 |
Finance revenue |
– |
– |
(37) |
(37) |
Finance prices |
– |
– |
86 |
86 |
Earnings taxes |
– |
– |
(4) |
(4) |
Internet changes on fairness investees 2 |
41 |
– |
– |
41 |
EBITDA |
377 |
153 |
(178) |
352 |
Loss on derivatives |
– |
– |
76 |
76 |
Different working expense (revenue) |
26 |
– |
– |
26 |
Different revenue |
(23) |
– |
– |
(23) |
Adjusted EBITDA |
380 |
153 |
(102) |
431 |
1 JV Inkai EBITDA is included within the uranium phase. See JV Inkai Non-IFRS measures in our 2023 annual MD&A. |
2 Contains depreciation and amortization, finance revenue and finance prices of equity-accounted investees (see observe 12 to the monetary statements) |
The next Westinghouse monetary outlook is reported in Canadian {dollars} and ready in accordance with IFRS and displays Cameco’s 49% possession share. It reconciles the Westinghouse outlook for web earnings with EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA.
CAMECO SHARE (49%) |
||
($Cdn MILLIONS – IFRS) |
2024 OUTLOOK |
|
Internet earnings (loss) |
(170-230) |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
335-385 |
|
Finance revenue |
(2-3) |
|
Finance prices |
140-170 |
|
Earnings tax expense (restoration) |
10-30 |
|
EBITDA |
320-380 |
|
Changes on price of services offered |
55-60 |
|
Changes on advertising and marketing, administrative and normal |
50-65 |
|
Adjusted EBITDA |
445-510 |
The outlook for Westinghouse’s Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 and its progress over the subsequent 5 years are primarily based on the next assumptions:
- An trade fee of $1.00 (US) for $1.30 (Cdn)
- A compound annual progress fee in income from its core enterprise of 4% to six%, which is barely increased than the anticipated common progress fee of the nuclear trade primarily based on the World Nuclear Affiliation’s Reference Case. Along with orders for PWR reactor gas and companies, this consists of orders for VVER and BWR gas and companies. The outlook assumes that work is fulfilled on the timelines and scope anticipated primarily based on present orders obtained, and extra work is undertaken primarily based on previous traits. The anticipated margins on this work are aligned with the historic margins of 16% to 19%, with variability anticipated to return from product combine in comparison with in earlier years.
- Development from new AP1000® reactor initiatives relies on agreements which have been signed and bulletins the place the AP1000 know-how has been chosen, together with Poland, Bulgaria and Ukraine. It’s assumed that work on introduced agreements and introduced alternatives to be performed by Westinghouse would proceed on the timelines and income sample famous underneath the New Construct Framework. The expansion solely assumes Westinghouse undertakes the Engineering and Procurement work required previous to a brand new reactor venture breaking floor, which is a small element of the general potential. A delay in venture timelines or cancellation of introduced initiatives would lead to a progress fee close to the underside of the vary.
- Estimates and assumptions, together with improvement timelines for each introduced and potential reactor builds are topic to authorities and regulatory approval, in addition to dangers associated to the present macro-economic setting, and will differ considerably from these assumed.
- We additionally anticipate that investments in new applied sciences, together with eVinciâ„¢ microreactor and AP300â„¢ small modular reactor, might be made in accordance with Westinghouse’s present marketing strategy and are anticipated to contribute to Westinghouse’s Adjusted EBITDA largely exterior the 5-year time-frame.
Chosen segmented highlights
THREE MONTHS ENDED |
YEAR ENDED |
|||||||
DECEMBER 31 |
DECEMBER 31 |
|||||||
HIGHLIGHTS |
2023 |
2022 |
CHANGE |
2023 |
2022 |
CHANGE |
||
Uranium |
Manufacturing quantity (million lbs) |
5.7 |
3.7 |
54% |
17.6 |
10.4 |
69% |
|
Gross sales quantity (million lbs) |
9.8 |
6.9 |
42% |
32.0 |
25.6 |
25% |
||
Common realized worth 1 |
($US/lb) |
52.35 |
43.05 |
22% |
49.76 |
44.73 |
11% |
|
($Cdn/lb) |
71.65 |
57.87 |
24% |
67.31 |
57.85 |
16% |
||
Income ($ thousands and thousands) |
700 |
397 |
76% |
2,152 |
1,480 |
45% |
||
Gross revenue ($ thousands and thousands) |
96 |
24 |
>100% |
444 |
121 |
>100% |
||
Internet earnings 2 |
606 |
200 |
>100% |
|||||
Adjusted EBITDA 2,3 |
835 |
380 |
>100% |
|||||
Gasoline companies |
Manufacturing quantity (million kgU) |
3.7 |
3.7 |
– |
13.3 |
13.0 |
2% |
|
Gross sales quantity (million kgU) |
4.2 |
3.8 |
11% |
12.0 |
11.1 |
8% |
||
Common realized worth 4 |
($Cdn/kgU) |
32.19 |
30.11 |
7% |
35.61 |
32.92 |
8% |
|
Income ($ thousands and thousands) |
134 |
115 |
17% |
426 |
365 |
17% |
||
Gross revenue ($ thousands and thousands) |
40 |
41 |
(2)% |
124 |
117 |
6% |
||
Internet earnings 2 |
129 |
120 |
8% |
|||||
Adjusted EBITDA 2,3 |
164 |
153 |
7% |
|||||
Westinghouse |
Income 5 |
521 |
– |
– |
||||
(our share) |
Internet loss 2 |
(24) |
– |
|||||
Adjusted EBITDA 2,3 |
101 |
– |
– |
1 Uranium common realized worth is calculated because the income from gross sales of uranium focus, transportation and storage charges divided by the quantity of uranium concentrates offered. |
2 Now we have solely supplied segmented web earnings (loss) and adjusted EBITDA on a year-to-date foundation. |
3 Non-IFRS measure, see under. |
4 Gasoline companies common realized worth is calculated as income from the sale of conversion and fabrication companies, together with gas bundles and reactor parts, transportation and storage charges divided by the volumes offered. |
5 We closed the acquisition of Westinghouse on November 7, 2023. Our share of its income is mirrored for the 12 months ended 2023. We didn’t have an possession curiosity in Westinghouse in 2022. |
Administration’s dialogue and evaluation (MD&A) and monetary statements
The 2023 annual MD&A and consolidated monetary statements present an in depth clarification of our working outcomes for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2023, as in comparison with the identical durations final 12 months, and our outlook for 2024. This information launch ought to be learn together with these paperwork, in addition to our most up-to-date annual data type, all of which can be found on our web site at cameco.com, on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.com , and on EDGAR at sec.gov/edgar.shtml.
Certified individuals
The technical and scientific data mentioned on this doc for our materials properties McArthur River/Key Lake, Cigar Lake and Inkai was authorized by the next people who’re certified individuals for the needs of NI 43-101:
MCARTHUR RIVER/KEY LAKE
- Greg Murdock, normal supervisor, McArthur River, Cameco
- Daley McIntyre, normal supervisor, Key Lake, Cameco
INKAI
- Sergey Ivanov, deputy director normal, technical companies, Cameco Kazakhstan LLP
CIGAR LAKE
- Lloyd Rowson, normal supervisor, Cigar Lake, Cameco
- Scott Bishop, director, technical companies, Cameco
- Alain D. Renaud, principal useful resource geologist, technical companies, Cameco
- Biman Bharadwaj, principal metallurgist, technical companies, Cameco
Warning about forward-looking data
This information launch consists of statements and details about our expectations for the long run, which we discuss with as forward-looking data. Ahead-looking data relies on our present views, which might change considerably, and precise outcomes and occasions could also be considerably totally different from what we presently anticipate.
Examples of forward-looking data on this information launch embody: our expectation of robust monetary efficiency as we start to understand advantages from our funding in Westinghouse, together with our perception that Westinghouse is well-positioned for long-term progress, and our anticipated share of its adjusted EBITDA for 2024 and over the subsequent 5 years; our expectation that Westinghouse’s investments in new applied sciences might be made in accordance with Westinghouse’s present marketing strategy and our expectations concerning the results on Westinghouse’s adjusted EBITDA; our views concerning provide and demand for nuclear energy and its progress throughout the close to, medium and long run; our skill to profit from market fundamentals and alternatives; the sturdiness of progress in our uranium and conversion companies contracting; our skill to function our property sustainably, and our expectations concerning the worth they’ll generate for us; our expectations concerning the influence of the completion of a return to a tier-one run fee on our monetary outcomes; our views concerning the influence on the nuclear energy trade of geopolitical occasions and ongoing deal with local weather disaster; our perception that Cameco is a wonderful alternative to put money into the restoration within the uranium market; the sturdiness of our progress, and our skill to pursue progress and generate full-cycle worth; our contract portfolio technique and skill to take care of publicity to increased costs with unencumbered future productive capability; our provide plans, together with manufacturing ranges at McArthur River/Key Lake, Cigar Lake and Inkai, in addition to at our Port Hope conversion facility; our intention to increase the estimated mine life at Cigar Lake to 2036, our skill to proceed to obtain manufacturing from Inkai with out reliance on Russian rail strains or ports and our skill to mitigate the chance of cargo delays; our skill to broaden manufacturing from our current property, and the manufacturing degree we might obtain by way of our tier-one enlargement alternatives; the components we are going to take into account in making selections concerning increasing manufacturing; our skill to proceed to be resilient; our optimism concerning our position in supporting a transition to a net-zero carbon economic system, and expectations concerning our skill to realize emissions degree reductions inside our anticipated timeframes; our imaginative and prescient of energizing a clean-air world and perception in our technique for doing so in a fashion that displays our values; our expectations concerning refinancing our debenture previous to maturity or because it comes due; our expectations concerning letter of credit score necessities in reference to CRA’s reassessment for the 2017 tax 12 months; our views concerning the long-term sustainability of our enterprise and our skill to self-manage danger; and the anticipated date for announcement of our 2024 first quarter outcomes.
Materials dangers that would result in totally different outcomes embody: sudden adjustments in uranium provide, demand, long-term contracting, and costs; adjustments in client demand for nuclear energy and uranium because of altering societal views and goals concerning nuclear energy, electrification and decarbonization; the chance that we might not proceed with our provide self-discipline technique; dangers to Westinghouse’s enterprise related to potential manufacturing disruptions, the implementation of its enterprise goals, compliance with licensing or high quality assurance necessities, or in any other case be unable to realize anticipated progress; the chance that we might not be capable of implement adjustments to future working and manufacturing ranges for Cigar Lake and McArthur River/Key Lake and Inkai, or at our Port Hope conversion facility, to the deliberate ranges throughout the anticipated timeframes, or that the prices concerned in doing so, exceed our expectations; the chance that our revenues and money flows might not enhance to the extent anticipated; the chance of Inkai cargo delays because of the continuation or end result of the battle between Ukraine and Russia; the chance that we might not be capable of meet gross sales commitments for any purpose; the chance that we might not be capable of proceed to be resilient or proceed to enhance our monetary efficiency; the dangers to our enterprise related to potential manufacturing disruptions, together with these associated to world provide chain disruptions, world financial uncertainty and political volatility; the chance that we might not be capable of implement our enterprise goals in a fashion in step with our environmental, social, governance and different values; the chance that the technique we’re pursuing might show unsuccessful, or that we might not be capable of execute it efficiently; the chance that we will not be profitable in pursuing innovation or implementing superior applied sciences; the chance that we might not be capable of refinance our debenture on phrases which are as beneficial as we anticipate; and the chance that we could also be delayed in asserting our future monetary outcomes.
In presenting the forward-looking data, we’ve got made materials assumptions which can show incorrect about: uranium demand, provide, consumption, long-term contracting, progress within the demand for and world public acceptance of nuclear vitality, and costs; our manufacturing, purchases, gross sales, deliveries and prices; the market situations and different components upon which we’ve got primarily based our future plans and forecasts; the success of our plans and techniques, together with deliberate working and manufacturing adjustments; assumptions about Westinghouse’s manufacturing, purchases, gross sales, deliveries and prices, the absence of enterprise disruptions, and the success of its plans and techniques; the absence of recent and opposed authorities laws, insurance policies or selections; that there is not going to be any vital unanticipated opposed penalties to our enterprise ensuing from manufacturing disruptions, together with these relating to provide disruptions, and financial or political uncertainty and volatility; and our skill to announce future monetary outcomes when anticipated.
Please additionally evaluation the dialogue in our 2023 annual MD&A and most up-to-date annual data type for different materials dangers that would trigger precise outcomes to vary considerably from our present expectations, and different materials assumptions we’ve got made. Ahead-looking data is designed that will help you perceive administration’s present views of our near-term and longer-term prospects, and it will not be acceptable for different functions. We is not going to essentially replace this data until we’re required to by securities legal guidelines.
Convention name
We invite you to affix our fourth quarter convention name on Thursday, February 8, 2024, at 8:00 a.m. Jap.
The decision might be open to all traders and the media. To hitch the decision, please dial (800) 319-4610 (Canada and US) or (604) 638-5340. An operator will put your name by way of. The slides and a stay webcast of the convention name might be accessible from a hyperlink at cameco.com. See the hyperlink on our dwelling web page on the day of the decision.
A recorded model of the proceedings might be accessible:
- on our web site, cameco.com, shortly after the decision
- on publish view till midnight, Jap, March 8, 2024, by calling (800) 319-6413 (Canada and US) or (604) 638-9010 (Passcode 0554)
2024 first quarter report launch date
We plan to announce our 2024 first quarter outcomes earlier than markets open on April 30, 2024.
Profile
Cameco is without doubt one of the largest world suppliers of the uranium gas wanted to energise a clean-air world. Our aggressive place relies on our controlling possession of the world’s largest high-grade reserves and low-cost operations, in addition to vital investments throughout the nuclear gas cycle, together with possession pursuits in Westinghouse Electrical Firm and International Laser Enrichment. Utilities world wide depend on Cameco to supply world nuclear gas options for the era of protected, dependable, carbon-free nuclear energy. Our shares commerce on the Toronto and New York inventory exchanges. Our head workplace is in Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.
As used on this information launch, the phrases we, us, our, the Firm and Cameco imply Cameco Company and its subsidiaries until in any other case indicated.
View supply model on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/information/dwelling/20240207373185/en/
Investor inquiries:
Rachelle Girard
306-956-6403
rachelle_girard@cameco.com
Media inquiries:
Veronica Baker
306-385-5541
veronica_baker@cameco.com