In an interview with ETMarkets, Mahajan mentioned: “People within the 30-40 age bracket, with no short-term objectives, ought to concentrate on constructing emergency funds equal to 12-18 months of bills, adopted by an 80% allocation to equities,” Edited excerpts:
Q: The Indian market hits recent file highs in February 2024 with the Nifty reaching the 22K mark. As we step into the final month of the monetary 12 months, historical past means that the Nifty has given a optimistic return in 4 out of the final 10 years. The place are markets headed?
A: Certainly, markets have been on a secular bull run for the previous 4 years, and up to date GDP numbers, together with the digitalization of monetary financial savings, have additional propelled this pattern.
Retail participation in fairness markets has been growing steadily, reaching important ranges. In January, nearly 46.7 lakh mutual fund folios and 46.84 lakh Demat accounts had been opened, offering a considerable increase to fairness markets by way of home inflows.
With the upcoming elections, indications level in the direction of India getting a steady authorities. Nevertheless, predicting short-term market actions is difficult. Nonetheless, in the long run, we anticipate a sturdy tempo of asset compounding supported by good governance, sturdy GDP progress charges, and a concentrate on manufacturing.
Q: GDP knowledge for the March quarter was launched final week. What does the information recommend concerning the general well being of the financial system, RBI’s outlook on charges, and its affect on markets?
A: The precise efficiency of the financial system has persistently surpassed expectations, with structural transformations underway in each bodily and digital infrastructure, together with an inclusive agenda boosting buying energy. This can be a very optimistic signal for India, as mirrored within the revised GDP progress estimate for FY24, now at 7.6%.The Reserve Financial institution of India (RBI) has chosen to keep up the established order on rates of interest, retaining the repo charges unchanged at 6.5%, a continuation of its method aimed toward curbing inflation whereas sustaining financial stability.Regardless of considerations about meals inflation, core inflation reveals indicators of softening, prompting a optimistic market response.
Q: On condition that we’re buying and selling close to file highs, are you totally invested, or have you ever taken some cash off to be deployed later?
A: We’re nearly totally invested in our portfolios, sustaining 4-6% money throughout them. We search top-ups for investing in undervalued companies or for tactical shopping for, guaranteeing some liquidity for our shoppers whereas remaining ready for alternatives.
Q: How ought to traders be positioned for FY25, and what needs to be the best asset allocation for people aged 30-40 years?
A: Traders ought to adhere to their asset allocation technique primarily based on age, threat tolerance, objectives, and time horizon. People within the 30-40 age bracket, with no short-term objectives, ought to concentrate on constructing emergency funds equal to 12-18 months of bills, adopted by an 80% allocation to equities.
Given the present state of affairs, deploying 80% of the fairness allocation by way of weekly STP over the following 8-10 weeks is advisable, with the remaining allocation to be adjusted post-election, relying on the prevailing situations. STP/SIP stays the popular route for investing.
Q: Oil & fuel, Vitality, and PSU Index rose greater than 30% within the final 3 months. What’s driving this rally?
A: These sectors, traditionally underperforming, are witnessing progress pushed by the federal government’s concentrate on clear power and the restoration of unhealthy belongings, significantly within the PSU area.
Nevertheless, there may be froth in small and micro-cap segments and particular sectors like protection, railways, and PSU banks. Traders ought to train warning, contemplating valuation metrics and anticipated earnings quite than following a herd mentality.
Q: Will dividend-paying shares be a greater play to beat volatility in FY25? What share of the portfolio needs to be positioned in dividend shares?
A: Sure, allocating 10-15% of the portfolio to excessive dividend-paying shares is advisable. Nevertheless, traders ought to prioritize companies with clear administration to keep away from losses in share value regardless of receiving dividends.
Q: What position will debt play within the subsequent few years, and do you foresee debt portfolios gaining reputation in retail and HNI circles?
A: Mounted earnings is predicted to yield capital features from charge cuts over the following 1-1.5 years, doubtlessly providing double-digit pre-tax returns. Parking debt allocations in gilt/debt funds with a modified period exceeding 7 years may very well be profitable, offering each coupon and capital features. This differs from mounted deposits, the place features are solely from curiosity earnings.
Q: After Lakshadweep, PM Modi indicated deep water tourism. Any specific firm(s) that might profit from the transfer?
A: We favor corporations like ITC and Lemon Tree in our portfolio. Moreover, we’re monitoring building corporations, tiles, cement, and FMCG corporations for potential advantages from the deep water tourism initiative.
Q: We have now seen many SME IPOs hitting D-Road in comparison with the mainboard up to now in 2024. How do you consider this pattern? Is it a superb signal or an indication of warning?
A: We’re cautious about this pattern attributable to wealthy valuations and restricted liquidity, particularly throughout market corrections. It is prudent to attend for valuations to normalize earlier than contemplating investments in SME IPOs.
(Disclaimer: Suggestions, strategies, views, and opinions given by specialists are their very own. These don’t characterize the views of the Financial Instances)
