Family investors turn to old-economy businesses to avoid AI disruption

Equity Group Investments (EGI), associated with the family of the late billionaire Sam Zell, is diversifying its portfolio with a focus on traditional industries, notably a John Deere dealership, a bluefin tuna fishery, and a pedestrian bridge connecting San Diego to Tijuana International Airport. Mark Sotir, the firm’s president, emphasizes a long-term investment strategy that prioritizes sectors less vulnerable to technological disruption, particularly from artificial intelligence.

Sotir notes, “If you’re thinking out 10 years, you have to start with picking a company in an industry that you know will be around," highlighting a cautious approach to technology investments. This philosophy aligns with a broader trend among family offices, which are increasingly leaning towards asset-heavy companies known for stable cash flows, especially during uncertain economic conditions. The term "HALO," or "heavy assets, low obsolescence," reflects this growing sentiment on Wall Street.

Economic factors, including tax reforms that renew bonus depreciation, are making investments in asset-heavy businesses more appealing. Such tax benefits allow businesses to immediately deduct major investments, significantly affecting their financial outlook. Joe Mowery from Stephens notes that auto and equipment dealerships offer reliable cash flow, even amidst inflationary pressures.

Despite challenges like rising costs in agriculture, EGI views current market conditions as opportunities. Sotir points out that many farmers are under stress, making it an opportune time for investment, as their long-term strategy allows them to wait for market recoveries.

EGI’s unique position enables it to act without the pressure that often affects traditional private equity firms, allowing a more deliberate approach to investment decisions.

  • Why this story matters: It highlights a shift in investment strategies amidst economic uncertainty, favoring traditional industries over technology-focused ventures.
  • Key takeaway: EGI’s long-term, conservative investment approach positions it to capitalize on market volatility in asset-heavy sectors.
  • Opposing viewpoint: Critics may argue that an exclusive focus on old-economy businesses could limit growth potential compared to tech innovations.

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